Simulations and Field Experiments of Policy Responses and Interventions to Promote Inclusive Adaptation to and Recovery from the COVID-19 Crisis

This project focuses on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the effectiveness of current and potential policies in 11 developing countries to identify more effective and inclusive policy responses to, and recovery from, the pandemic. In nine countries, the project will use simulation modelling to explore the likely impacts of various policy responses at different stages of the crisis: epidemic and lockdown, gradual re-opening, and full recovery. In two countries, ongoing experimental impact evaluations will be extended to assess specific pandemic-response interventions. The research will be guided by questions relating to the impacts of the COVID-19 crisis on national economies and populations and the results will guide national decision-making.